Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.026400 0.028411 0.030512 0.032871 0.035451 0.038190 0.041322
2025-01-26 0.023160 0.026028 0.029182 0.032917 0.037235 0.042087 0.047978
2025-02-02 0.021199 0.024615 0.028519 0.033337 0.039154 0.045994 0.054707
2025-02-09 0.019371 0.023077 0.027446 0.033015 0.039982 0.048484 0.059758
2025-02-16 0.018000 0.021915 0.026653 0.032864 0.040876 0.050978 0.064861
2025-02-23 0.016812 0.020858 0.025866 0.032595 0.041515 0.053093 0.069525
2025-03-02 0.015903 0.020068 0.025333 0.032570 0.042404 0.055520 0.074707
2025-03-09 0.014938 0.019134 0.024536 0.032109 0.042634 0.057016 0.078642
2025-03-16 0.014023 0.018205 0.023676 0.031487 0.042565 0.058046 0.081923
2025-03-23 0.013322 0.017516 0.023091 0.031189 0.042902 0.059630 0.086082
2025-03-30 0.012691 0.016886 0.022544 0.030898 0.043207 0.061153 0.090216
2025-04-06 0.011997 0.016131 0.021780 0.030244 0.042924 0.061758 0.092930
2025-04-13 0.011654 0.015856 0.021682 0.030556 0.044104 0.064660 0.099542
2025-04-20 0.011226 0.015439 0.021359 0.030511 0.044730 0.066735 0.104958
2025-04-27 0.010950 0.015226 0.021315 0.030875 0.045998 0.069886 0.112403
2025-05-04 0.010509 0.014749 0.020857 0.030577 0.046192 0.071300 0.116952
2025-05-11 0.010141 0.014364 0.020518 0.030439 0.046624 0.073115 0.122324
2025-05-18 0.009771 0.013958 0.020126 0.030193 0.046858 0.074597 0.127191
2025-05-25 0.009480 0.013659 0.019883 0.030169 0.047450 0.076715 0.133383
2025-06-01 0.009110 0.013225 0.019412 0.029749 0.047343 0.077598 0.137292
2025-06-08 0.008726 0.012756 0.018867 0.029181 0.046949 0.077936 0.140158
2025-06-15 0.008433 0.012416 0.018512 0.028909 0.047048 0.079159 0.144851
2025-06-22 0.008157 0.012094 0.018171 0.028642 0.047138 0.080364 0.149587